Wednesday 13 November 2013

Greg craven's logic :

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=zORv8wwiadQ - His video

He talks about applying game theory to the "decision paralysis" people have surrounding the global warming debate, using a "decision grid." He explores misunderstandings most people have about the nature of science, and whether or not science can provide certainty about important questions facing society. He emphasizes as a starting point the acknowledgement, whether one is a skeptic of global warming or a "panicked activist," that one could be wrong about global warming. He argues that the evidence is not what is most important in the climate change debate, because each side has "evidence" to support its conclusions. He talks about "confirmation bias," and how it makes it difficult to find out the truth about global warming. He explains why it is less important to personally live "green," and why others kinds of social environmentalist activism is more important. He details why America's mobilization in World War II and also modern social networking on the internet are the only two things that give him hope regarding responsibly responding to climate change.It is also helpful in business decisions.

A woman affected with color blindness marries a unaffected person so what is the probability for being color blind. Mother-XBXb and father is Xby.




  XB Xb
XB XBXB XBXb
y XBY Xby


Key: B-not affected by color blindness
b-affected by color blindness.
 









()Decision Paralysis:

A condition of not being able to decide on a matter when there is no clear cut best option. It leads to an ever longer period of gather more information in the hope that more information will guide the decision maker to an option that is clearly better. Exactly the same as "Analysis Paralysis".

No comments:

Post a Comment